Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy
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Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy

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Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy

The Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy is a precision-based trading method that combines the predictive structure of Elliott Wave Theory with Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to forecast market turning points, entry zones, and profit targets. By integrating wave counts with Fibonacci ratios, traders gain a powerful roadmap for navigating both trending and corrective phases with clarity and accuracy.

This strategy is ideal for traders who want to use a structured, rules-based approach to capture high-probability trades in line with the underlying trend.

What Is the Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy?

This strategy applies Fibonacci tools to key swing points within an Elliott Wave structure to:

  • Confirm wave completion
  • Anticipate retracements and extensions
  • Validate wave counts
  • Identify high-probability trade setups and exits

The combination of wave logic and mathematical symmetry gives traders the ability to map potential market moves before they unfold.

Key Fibonacci Tools Used

  • Fibonacci Retracement: Measures pullbacks in corrective waves (Wave 2 or 4)
  • Fibonacci Extension: Projects targets for impulsive waves (Wave 3 or 5)
  • Fibonacci Projections: Estimates Wave C targets based on Wave A in corrective structures

How to Apply the Strategy

Step 1: Identify the Impulse or Correction

Use Elliott Wave rules to determine:

  • A potential 5-wave impulse (1-2-3-4-5)
  • Or an A-B-C correction

Label the waves and confirm they follow basic guidelines:

  • Wave 2 does not retrace more than 100% of Wave 1
  • Wave 3 is not the shortest
  • Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1

Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Retracement to Wave 1 or Wave 3

To trade Wave 3:

  • Apply a Fibonacci retracement from the bottom of Wave 1 to the top
  • Look for Wave 2 to retrace to the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6% levels
  • Wait for reversal patterns (pin bar, engulfing candle, MACD crossover) near those levels to confirm entry into Wave 3

To trade Wave 5:

  • Measure retracement of Wave 3 using Fibonacci to find the likely end of Wave 4

Step 3: Use Fibonacci Extension for Targeting

For Wave 3:

  • Use Fibonacci extension from Wave 1 to Wave 2
  • Wave 3 target: 161.8% of Wave 1 (minimum), sometimes extends to 261.8%

For Wave 5:

  • Project from Wave 2 to Wave 3, retraced to Wave 4
  • Wave 5 target: 61.8% to 100% of Wave 1, or a double top if Wave 3 was extended

Step 4: Apply Fibonacci to ABC Corrections

In A-B-C corrections:

  • Measure Wave A
  • Project Wave C to equal 100% or 161.8% of Wave A
  • Use this to identify reversal zones for trend continuation

Example Trade Setup: Long Position

  1. Wave 1 forms from 1.2000 to 1.2200
  2. Wave 2 retraces to 1.2100 (50% level)
  3. Bullish engulfing candle forms at 1.2100
  4. Fibonacci extension projects Wave 3 to 1.2520 (161.8% of Wave 1)
  5. Trade is entered at 1.2110, stop below 1.2080, target at 1.2520

Advantages of the Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy

  • Forecasting Power: Predicts both price levels and market timing
  • Precision Entries: Uses Fibonacci levels as trade filters
  • Improved Wave Confidence: Confirms counts with mathematical validation
  • Risk Management: Clear stop-loss and take-profit zones

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Using incorrect wave counts: Validate wave structure before applying Fibonacci
  • Ignoring confirmation: Don’t enter solely based on Fibonacci levels—wait for candlestick or momentum confirmation
  • Overlapping impulsive waves: Check that impulse rules are followed before projecting extensions

Tips for Success

  • Combine with MACD or RSI to detect divergence at key Fibonacci levels
  • Use multi-timeframe analysis for stronger confluence
  • Watch for volume confirmation—stronger volume often accompanies Wave 3

Conclusion

The Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy provides a structured, disciplined approach to navigating market trends and corrections. By applying Fibonacci retracement and extension levels within Elliott Wave structures, traders can identify entry zones, exit targets, and reversal areas with greater confidence and clarity.

To master the Elliott Wave Fibonacci Strategy and other advanced techniques, enrol in our comprehensive Trading Courses at Traders MBA and learn how to trade markets with mathematical precision and professional strategy.

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