Fibonacci Extension Strategy
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Fibonacci Extension Strategy

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Fibonacci Extension Strategy

The Fibonacci Extension Strategy is a precision-based approach used by traders to forecast potential profit targets and continuation zones beyond traditional retracement levels. While Fibonacci retracements help identify where a pullback might end, Fibonacci extensions predict how far a trend may continue—making them ideal for setting exits, confirming trend strength, and managing risk.

This article will walk you through how to use the Fibonacci Extension Strategy, when to apply it, and why it can significantly improve your trading performance.

What Is the Fibonacci Extension Strategy?

The Fibonacci Extension Strategy uses the Fibonacci extension tool to measure the distance a price move might travel after a retracement is complete. These levels are calculated using key Fibonacci ratios, typically:

  • 61.8%
  • 100%
  • 127.2%
  • 161.8%
  • 200%

Extensions are plotted by selecting three points:

  1. The start of the trend (Point A)
  2. The end of the trend (Point B)
  3. The end of the retracement (Point C)

The tool then projects levels beyond point B, offering key price targets for trend continuation.

Why Fibonacci Extensions Matter

  • They define high-probability target zones for exiting trades or scaling profits.
  • They reveal market symmetry, helping traders understand where buyers or sellers might take control.
  • They align with trader psychology—many professionals and algorithms use Fibonacci-based levels, increasing their reliability.

How to Use the Fibonacci Extension Strategy

Step 1: Identify the Trend

  • In a bullish trend, mark Point A (low), Point B (high), and Point C (pullback low).
  • In a bearish trend, mark Point A (high), Point B (low), and Point C (retracement high).

Step 2: Apply the Fibonacci Extension Tool

  • Connect points A → B → C.
  • The tool will automatically plot levels such as 100%, 127.2%, and 161.8% as horizontal lines above (or below) the current price.

Step 3: Enter the Trade at Point C

  • Look for confirmation of trend resumption (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, breakout).
  • Set stop-loss below C (in uptrend) or above C (in downtrend).

Step 4: Take Profit at Extension Levels

  • Target 1: 100% level (equal leg move).
  • Target 2: 127.2% level (moderate extension).
  • Target 3: 161.8% level (strong extension).

You can also trail stops behind each extension level for dynamic risk management.

Example Trade Setup

  1. On a 1-hour chart, price rallies from 1.2500 (A) to 1.2600 (B).
  2. It pulls back to 1.2550 (C).
  3. A bullish engulfing candle forms at 1.2550.
  4. Fibonacci extension tool projects:
    • 100% = 1.2650
    • 127.2% = 1.2686
    • 161.8% = 1.2727
  5. Buy at 1.2560, stop at 1.2535, take profits at 1.2650 and 1.2686.

Combining with Other Tools for Confluence

To improve the reliability of Fibonacci extension setups, combine with:

  • Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 61.8% pullback aligns with extension move)
  • Trendlines or moving averages
  • Support/resistance levels
  • Volume analysis or RSI divergence

Confluence adds confidence and filters low-quality trades.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Wrong anchor points: Always base A-B-C on clear and valid swing highs/lows.
  • Overestimating extensions: Avoid assuming price will always hit 161.8%—use realistic targets.
  • Lack of confirmation: Enter only with clear price action or momentum validation at Point C.

Fibonacci Extension Strategy vs Retracement Strategy

FeatureFibonacci ExtensionFibonacci Retracement
PurposeTarget trend continuationSpot pullback levels
Key UseTake-profit zonesEntry points
Price ProjectionBeyond trend legWithin trend leg
Trade BiasTrend-followingTrend-following or counter

Conclusion

The Fibonacci Extension Strategy gives traders a structured and proven way to forecast how far a trend can go, making it an essential tool for setting take-profits, managing expectations, and riding momentum with confidence. When combined with price action confirmation and market structure, it becomes one of the most effective tools for trend continuation trading.

To master Fibonacci extensions and other advanced trading tools, explore our Trading Courses at Traders MBA and start executing trades with precision and purpose.

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