FX Fixing Strategy
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FX Fixing Strategy

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FX Fixing Strategy

The FX Fixing Strategy is an institutional-style trading approach that exploits the price volatility and volume spikes that occur around daily foreign exchange benchmark fixing times—particularly the London 4pm Fix (16:00 GMT). These fixings are used by large institutions, fund managers, and corporates to value portfolios or execute large transactions at a standardised rate, often creating predictable price patterns and order flow imbalances.

Retail traders who understand how the fixing works can use this strategy to anticipate short-term directional moves and capitalise on liquidity surges with defined risk.

What Is the FX Fixing?

FX fixing is the process of setting official exchange rates at specific times during the day, often used for pricing and settlement.

Key fixing times:

  • London 4pm Fix (WM/Reuters Fix) – Most widely used globally
  • Tokyo 9am Fix – Significant for Asian session flows
  • ECB and New York fixings – Regional use for rebalancing

During fixings, large volumes of orders are executed within a short time window, which can lead to short-term price dislocations or spikes.

Strategy Objective

  • Anticipate price movements caused by order flow imbalances near fixing times
  • Capitalise on short-term volatility spikes with momentum trades
  • Trade with tight stops and pre-defined targets around the fixing window

Tools and Indicators Required

  • Candlestick chart (M5 or M15 ideal)
  • Session time indicators
  • Optional: Volume or order flow data, news filter

Step-by-Step Strategy Setup

Step 1: Identify Key Fixing Time

  • Focus primarily on London 4pm Fix (16:00 GMT)
  • Be aware of other regional fixes depending on your trading session

Step 2: Monitor Price Leading Into Fixing

  • In the 30–45 minutes before fixing, look for:
    • Strong directional push (potential pre-hedging flows)
    • Range-bound behaviour before a breakout
    • Building volume with little price movement

Step 3: Look for Pre-Fix Setup

  • If price accelerates rapidly in one direction, it may reverse shortly after fixing
  • If price consolidates, a sharp breakout may occur in the 5–10 minutes after the fix
  • Track stop hunt wicks or fakeouts just before the fix

Step 4: Enter Post-Fix Momentum Trade

  • Wait for the first 1–2 candles after 16:00 GMT close
  • Enter in the direction of the breakout with a clear close outside the range
  • Use price action signals like engulfing candles, pin bars, or break/retest

Step 5: Stop Loss and Take Profit

  • SL: Just outside the opposite side of the fixing range or 1x ATR
  • TP: Nearest intraday support/resistance or 1:2 risk-reward
  • Consider closing the trade before session close if volatility fades

Example: EUR/USD 4pm Fix Setup (M15)

  • 15:00–15:55 GMT: Price slowly trends lower
  • At 15:59, large bearish candle pushes EUR/USD to intraday low
  • 16:05: Strong bullish engulfing candle forms, breaking above the 16:00 range
  • Entry: Long at 1.0745
  • SL: 1.0725
  • TP: 1.0785 (prior swing high)

Best Timeframes and Pairs

  • M5, M15 for precision entries
  • Best pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/GBP
  • Avoid exotic or illiquid pairs

Optimisation Tips

  • Avoid trading if major news releases occur within 30 minutes of the fix
  • Watch for institutional flow headlines or rebalancing cues from large banks
  • Combine with volume spikes or VWAP to confirm intent
  • Be nimble—fixing moves often reverse within 30–60 minutes

Advantages

  • Predictable time-based volatility
  • Strong institutional participation offers high volume and momentum
  • Tight risk with well-defined short-term setups
  • Works consistently across liquid pairs

Limitations

  • Requires time sensitivity and fast execution
  • High risk of false breakouts without confirmation
  • Limited to specific time windows per session
  • Volatility can lead to whipsaws if not managed carefully

Conclusion

The FX Fixing Strategy offers a unique opportunity to trade with institutional flow during one of the most important liquidity windows in the forex market. By understanding price behaviour around the fixing time—especially the London 4pm Fix—traders can harness predictable volatility and structure high-probability, short-term trades.

To master this and other institutional-grade timing strategies with expert coaching and real-world application, enrol in our Trading Courses and sharpen your edge in time-based execution.

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