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Only mechanical systems work?
In the trading world, mechanical systems — also known as rule-based or algorithmic strategies — are often praised for their consistency, objectivity, and immunity to emotion. This has led many to believe that only mechanical systems work, and that discretionary or hybrid approaches are inherently flawed. But while mechanical systems offer clear benefits, the idea that they are the only viable path to trading success is a myth. In this article, we’ll explore the strengths and limitations of mechanical systems, and why many successful traders use discretion, hybrids, or even instinct — not just code.
What is a mechanical trading system?
A mechanical system is a fully rule-based strategy where:
- Entries and exits are clearly defined
- There is no discretion or subjective judgement
- Trades can be backtested
- Execution can often be automated
For example, a moving average crossover system with fixed stop loss and take profit levels would be mechanical. The trader follows signals without question, or the system is automated entirely.
Why mechanical systems are appealing
1. Removes emotion:
By eliminating discretionary decision-making, mechanical systems help prevent emotional trading, overthinking, and inconsistency.
2. Easy to backtest:
You can test a strategy across years of historical data to understand performance, risk, and robustness.
3. Scalable:
Mechanical systems can be automated, traded across multiple markets, or scaled with capital without changing behaviour.
4. Discipline by design:
The system enforces rules — traders don’t need to rely on willpower.
Why mechanical systems don’t always work
Despite their benefits, mechanical systems are not foolproof, and in many cases, they fail when conditions change.
1. Markets evolve:
Strategies that worked in a trending market may break down in ranging conditions. A mechanical system is only as good as its adaptability — and most are rigid.
2. Curve fitting risk:
It’s easy to over-optimise a strategy to past data, resulting in great backtest results but poor live performance. This is especially dangerous if the system was built on too many rules or parameters.
3. Black swan vulnerability:
Mechanical systems often assume normal market behaviour. Unexpected news, flash crashes, or illiquidity can wipe out months of profits in minutes.
4. Lack of contextual awareness:
Mechanical systems can’t interpret fundamentals, sentiment shifts, or market tone. They may keep trading through high-risk news events, misread volume, or get caught in obvious traps that a human would avoid.
5. Execution issues in live markets:
Backtested trades assume perfect fills. In reality, slippage, latency, and spread widening can degrade performance — especially for high-frequency systems.
Why discretion still works — and often outperforms
Many top traders, including Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, and Linda Raschke, use discretionary or hybrid approaches, not fully mechanical systems. Here’s why:
1. Discretion adds context:
Humans can interpret news, tone, sentiment, and structure in ways code cannot.
2. Flexibility allows adaptation:
Discretionary traders can step aside during extreme volatility, reduce size after a losing streak, or pause during uncertain macro conditions — something most mechanical systems cannot do.
3. Instinct sharpens edge:
Experienced traders develop intuition that allows them to spot traps, fakeouts, and subtle shifts long before indicators reflect them.
4. Better risk management decisions:
A discretionary trader can adjust stops or take partial profits based on real-time behaviour — increasing resilience during drawdowns.
When mechanical systems do shine
Mechanical systems are excellent for:
- Traders who struggle with emotional control
- Quantitative firms with large data sets and infrastructure
- Highly liquid, stable markets where automation works efficiently
- Beginners learning to follow rules and manage risk
But even then, human oversight is often necessary to manage execution, adapt to news, and evolve the system over time.
Conclusion
The belief that only mechanical systems work is a myth. While rule-based strategies can be powerful — particularly for consistency and automation — they are not the only path to success. Many of the world’s most successful traders use discretion, hybrids, and instinct to outperform rigid systems. What matters most is not whether a strategy is mechanical or discretionary — but whether it is repeatable, well-managed, and suits your strengths.
To learn how to build a trading approach that blends structure with adaptability — whether mechanical, discretionary, or hybrid — enrol in our Trading Courses at Traders MBA, where you’ll learn to trade with discipline, not dogma.