Reverse Calendar Spread Strategy
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Reverse Calendar Spread Strategy

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Reverse Calendar Spread Strategy

The Reverse Calendar Spread Strategy, also known as a reverse time spread, is an advanced options strategy designed to profit from sharp price movements and/or a decline in implied volatility in the short term. Unlike a regular calendar spread (which profits from time decay and rising volatility), this strategy thrives when the underlying moves quickly, and the front-month options lose value faster than the back-month options.

It is ideal for event-driven trades, such as major news releases, earnings reports, central bank decisions, or volatility crushes.

What Is a Reverse Calendar Spread?

A reverse calendar spread involves:

  • Selling a longer-term option (back-month)
  • Buying a shorter-term option (front-month)
  • Both options are typically at the same strike price

This creates a position that is short vega (benefits from falling implied volatility) and long gamma (benefits from sharp price movements).

Payoff Profile:

  • Loses money if price stagnates near the strike
  • Profits if price moves significantly up or down from the strike
  • Profits further if implied volatility drops, especially in the long-dated option

Strategy Objective

  • Exploit a short-term breakout or strong move in the underlying
  • Capitalise on IV crush (e.g. post-earnings, after economic releases)
  • Trade volatility mispricing across expirations

Setup Example

Underlying: EUR/USD
Strike: 1.0900
Buy: 1-week 1.0900 Call
Sell: 1-month 1.0900 Call
Net Debit: Typically a credit or low-cost debit, depending on IV skew

Ideal Conditions for Use

  • High implied volatility in longer-term options
  • Anticipation of short-term price breakout (not just volatility event)
  • Expectation of implied volatility collapse post-event
  • Short-term option expires soon after the expected move

How the Strategy Works

1. Entry Timing

  • Enter before a major event, such as FOMC, ECB, NFP, earnings, CPI
  • Choose a front-month option expiring shortly after the event
  • Choose a back-month option with higher implied volatility

2. Price Movement Scenarios

  • Large move away from strike = front-month gains intrinsic value fast
  • IV crush post-event = short back-month loses value
  • Net position becomes profitable as short option decays faster than expected

3. Stagnant Price

  • If the underlying stays near strike, both options lose value
  • Since the trader is short the higher vega option, losses can occur
  • Time decay favours the front-month, but not enough to offset directional stagnation

Profit and Loss Dynamics

  • Maximum Profit: When the underlying moves far from the strike quickly
  • Maximum Loss: When price remains near the strike until front-month expires
  • Breakeven Zones: Typically exist well above and below the strike

Risk Management Tips

  • Trade after IV has expanded, not when it’s low
  • Always define risk using small position sizing
  • Close early if price spikes or volatility collapses favourably
  • Monitor theta and vega to understand time/volatility sensitivity

Real-World Example: NAS100 Before FOMC

  • NAS100 trading at 17,500
  • Buy 2-day 17,500 Call
  • Sell 14-day 17,500 Call
  • Expectation: large FOMC reaction + implied volatility drop post-announcement
  • Outcome: price jumps to 17,850, front option gains intrinsic, back-month IV collapses
  • Result: strategy closes with strong profit

Advantages of Reverse Calendar Spreads

  • Profits from movement in either direction
  • Takes advantage of IV crush post-event
  • Limited risk (debit) or low-cost setup
  • Excellent for event-based trading

Risks and Drawbacks

  • Maximum loss occurs when price doesn’t move
  • Short back-month option carries vega risk
  • Requires accurate timing of both volatility and direction
  • Not ideal in low-volatility, sideways markets

Conclusion

The Reverse Calendar Spread Strategy is a precision tool for trading around high-impact market events. Unlike standard calendars, it’s designed for explosive price action and collapsing implied volatility, offering a structured, limited-risk way to profit when markets make fast decisions.

To master reverse calendars and integrate them into a full volatility and event-driven strategy, enrol in our elite Trading Courses and learn how to trade volatility like a professional.

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