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Trading Systems Can Run Forever Without Updates? Here’s Why That’s a Dangerous Myth
Many traders dream of building or buying a trading system that runs forever—automatically generating profits without ever needing adjustments. It’s a tempting idea: set it, forget it, and watch the money roll in. But is it true?
Not quite. Believing a trading system can run indefinitely without updates is a recipe for failure.
Markets Change—Your System Must Too
The financial markets are dynamic, not static. What worked in 2015 may completely fail in 2025. This change can be driven by:
- Shifts in market structure
- Evolving regulations
- Changing volatility conditions
- Different central bank policies
- New technology and algorithms
A system based on past behaviour must adapt to new realities. If it doesn’t, it slowly becomes obsolete.
Overfitting: The Hidden Trap
Many systems are overfitted—optimised for historical data to the point they don’t generalise well in live markets. These systems may work for a while, then crash unexpectedly.
Unless a system is monitored and refined, its performance will degrade. Periodic updates help correct overfitting and improve robustness.
Economic and Political Factors Matter
Global news, elections, war, inflation spikes, and central bank actions can all distort market patterns. A static trading system has no context—it cannot respond intelligently to new developments unless updated or managed.
Indicators and Parameters Need Tuning
Most systems rely on technical indicators or price-based logic (e.g., moving averages, RSI, Fibonacci levels). These parameters are sensitive to market conditions. For example:
- A 50-day moving average system may fail in a sideways market.
- RSI thresholds might need adjustment in high-volatility environments.
Without updates, these tools lose effectiveness.
Even Algorithmic Trading Firms Update Regularly
Professional firms running high-frequency and algorithmic strategies update constantly. They deploy machine learning models, backtest frequently, and rotate systems in and out based on performance.
If the best in the industry continuously evolve their systems, so should retail traders.
How Often Should You Update?
There’s no fixed rule, but consider updates when:
- Strategy performance drops below expectations
- Market conditions shift significantly
- Volatility spikes or dies down
- You identify better risk or entry parameters
Backtesting, forward testing, and paper trading are essential parts of the update process.
Conclusion: Set-and-Forget Is a Myth
No trading system lasts forever without updates. The markets evolve, and your trading tools must evolve with them. Regular evaluation, testing, and refinement are essential for long-term success.
To learn how to build and maintain adaptable, data-driven strategies, check out our Trading Courses that guide you through strategy development, optimisation, and risk management.