Introduction The British pound is holding steady despite fiscal concerns, while the U.S. dollar is reeling from political interference undermining Federal Reserve independence. This divergence provides a window of opportunity to go long GBP/USD, as macro drivers and sentiment favour sterling over the dollar. Fundamental Analysis The UK economy is expanding modestly, with 0.3% quarterly growth and inflation still above target at 3.8% YoY. The Bank of England’s restrictive stance……
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Introduction The EUR/USD pair continues to reflect diverging economic fundamentals. With the US economy showing resilience through strong growth, firm labour markets, and restrictive monetary policy, the dollar retains a clear advantage. In contrast, the Eurozone struggles with sluggish growth, falling inflation, and a dovish European Central Bank (ECB). Combined with weak sentiment towards the euro, conditions remain favourable for further downside in EUR/USD. Fundamental Analysis The US economy is……
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Introduction GBP/CAD is trading near recent highs, driven by diverging macroeconomic conditions between the UK and Canada. Sterling remains supported by persistent inflation and strong wage growth, keeping the Bank of England cautious about cutting rates. In contrast, the Canadian dollar is under pressure from slowing domestic growth and weaker demand in exports. With fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals aligning, GBP/CAD shows potential for continued upside. Fundamental Analysis The UK economy……
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Introduction The Australian dollar (AUD) has been under pressure against the Swiss franc (CHF), but the cross is showing early signs of stabilisation. With the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a cautious hawkish stance and the Swiss National Bank leaning dovish, AUD/CHF may be setting up for a medium-term rebound. This article explores the fundamental, sentiment, and technical drivers shaping the pair and whether a breakout is on the horizon.……
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Introduction The GBP/JPY currency pair is once again attracting significant attention. It trades near multi-year highs. The combination of diverging monetary policies and structural macroeconomic imbalances supports sterling appreciation against the Japanese yen. The resilient service-sector performance in the UK also plays a role. Japan’s ultra-loose policy stance and structural fiscal headwinds continue to drag on the yen. Meanwhile, the Bank of England’s commitment to restrictive settings reinforces sterling. This……
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Introduction The Australian dollar is losing traction against the Japanese yen, with both macro fundamentals and technical indicators pointing toward downside risk. Weak growth, a negative trade balance, and soft business sentiment weigh on the Aussie, while the yen, despite ultra-loose Bank of Japan policy, retains structural support from persistent current account surpluses. With bearish sentiment and technical confirmation, AUD/JPY looks set for further weakness. Fundamental Analysis Australia’s macro picture……
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Introduction The EUR/GBP cross is under pressure as diverging fundamentals and sentiment weigh on the euro while offering relative support to sterling. Eurozone growth momentum has stalled, with GDP barely positive and confidence subdued, while the UK contends with higher inflation that is keeping policy tighter. Combined with bearish technical signals, EUR/GBP presents a compelling short opportunity. Fundamental Analysis The eurozone economy is losing momentum, with GDP growth just 0.1……
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Introduction The GBP/CHF currency pair is at a critical juncture, with macroeconomic, sentiment, and technical factors all pointing towards a continued downtrend. Switzerland’s robust trade and current account surpluses, ultra-low inflation, and strong business confidence contrast sharply with the United Kingdom’s persistent trade deficits, elevated inflation, and fiscal imbalances. This divergence has created a compelling case for maintaining a short bias on GBP/CHF. Fundamental Analysis The macroeconomic gap between the……
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Introduction The USD/JPY pair remains supported by a compelling mix of strong US macro fundamentals, wide interest rate differentials, and a technically bullish structure. With US economic data continuing to outperform Japan’s stagnant growth environment, the case for sustained USD gains against the JPY remains firm. This analysis explores the fundamental drivers, market sentiment, and technical confirmation supporting a long USD/JPY bias. Fundamental Analysis The United States is demonstrating robust……
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Introduction EUR/CAD is showing signs of topping out as macroeconomic fundamentals increasingly favour the Canadian dollar over the euro. With Canada’s economy supported by strong consumer spending, a positive trade balance, and resilient energy exports, while the Eurozone continues to face sluggish growth and a dovish policy stance. As a result, the case for a short EUR/CAD position is strengthening. Fundamental Analysis The Eurozone’s quarterly GDP growth is minimal at……
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