Introduction USD/JPY continues its bullish march, fuelled by sharp macro divergence, yield differentials, and solid US data. With the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance and Japan still anchored at zero rates, this trade capitalises on the world’s most asymmetric monetary policy pairing. Fundamental Analysis US Dollar (USD):The US economy has outperformed expectations with a QoQ GDP rebound to 3.0% and solid annual growth at 2.0%. Inflation has ticked up again……
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Introduction USD/CHF is flashing warning signs across both macroeconomic and technical indicators. With the US economy showing signs of contraction and Switzerland’s fundamentals holding firm, this overbought pair looks ripe for reversal. Here’s why a tactical short may be the smart play for August. Fundamental Analysis United States:GDP contracted -0.5% QoQ, with annual growth slowing to 2.0%. Inflation remains sticky at 2.7% YoY and 0.3% MoM, prompting a 4.5% Fed……
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Introduction GBP/CAD is showing signs of structural weakness as the macro and fiscal environment in the UK deteriorates while Canada continues to stabilise. Although the trade ranks third in conviction due to neutral technicals, the fundamental and sentiment imbalance offers downside potential over the coming weeks. Fundamental Analysis UK macro indicators paint a fragile backdrop for GBP/CAD: Net-net: the UK economy remains structurally more imbalanced, with weaker external accounts and……
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Introduction The British pound is showing mounting macro vulnerabilities against a structurally firmer Australian dollar. With weak UK fiscal metrics and deteriorating trade performance, the pair has entered a confirmed downtrend. We expect GBP/AUD to extend lower as bearish fundamentals align with strong technical confirmation. Fundamental Analysis United Kingdom (GBP): Australia (AUD): Verdict: GBP faces macro drag from fiscal and trade imbalances, while AUD is buoyed by external surpluses and……
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After a powerful macro-driven surge, CHF/JPY is flashing early signs of exhaustion. While Switzerland still outperforms Japan fundamentally, momentum indicators now suggest a tactical reversal is brewing. With overbought weekly conditions and bearish daily signals, the pair offers a well-defined short-term short setup targeting a pullback toward key Ichimoku support. Fundamental Analysis Swiss Franc (CHF)GDP growth remains strong at +0.5% QoQ and +2.0% YoY. Inflation is exceptionally low at +0.1%……
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IntroductionThe Australian dollar continues to underperform as weak macro data, a deteriorating current account, and slowing GDP growth weigh on sentiment. Against the Swiss franc — which boasts the strongest macro profile in the G7 — AUD/CHF offers a compelling short opportunity supported by both fundamental and technical alignment. Fundamental Analysis Australian Dollar (AUD) Swiss Franc (CHF) Sentiment Analysis Technical Analysis Conclusion AUD/CHF offers one of the cleanest macro-to-technical short……
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Introduction The British pound is on shaky ground. Growth is fading, government spending remains stretched, and trade deficits continue to widen. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc stands tall with strong exports, budget surpluses, and falling inflation. As these macro trends deepen, and with chart signals backing the story, the GBP/CHF presents a timely opportunity for shorting. Fundamental Analysis British Pound (GBP): Swiss Franc (CHF): Overall, the contrast is stark. GBP is……
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EUR/CAD has quietly built a bullish case over the past quarter, supported by divergent macro fundamentals and an increasingly favourable risk environment for the euro. While not yet a breakout star, the pair’s structure suggests further upside is possible — especially if Canadian data continues to underperform. Here’s a complete breakdown of why EUR/CAD deserves a closer look. Fundamental Analysis Eurozone outpaces Canada on trade and fiscal strength Eurozone GDP……
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The Swiss franc continues to assert itself as one of the strongest currencies globally, while the Japanese yen remains fundamentally weak. With macroeconomic conditions, sentiment flows, and technical trends all aligning, CHF/JPY presents a compelling long opportunity in the current environment. Fundamental Analysis: Surpluses vs Stagnation CHF macro momentum is dominant: JPY remains fundamentally weak: The macro divergence couldn’t be clearer: Switzerland enjoys policy flexibility, surpluses, and low inflation, while……
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The USD/CHF pair is flashing a compelling macro, sentiment, and technical alignment that supports a bearish view on the dollar against the franc. As the US economy shows cracks under tightening pressure and the Swiss macro backdrop remains rock solid, traders have growing reasons to rotate away from USD exposure and into CHF. Here’s a full breakdown. Fundamental Analysis United States Switzerland Summary: USD shows classic late-cycle deterioration, while CHF……
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