Introduction The recent wave of tariffs imposed by Donald Trump has sparked significant debate over their potential consequences for the U.S. economy. While the administration argues that these protectionist measures are necessary to safeguard domestic industries, critics warn that they may lead to rising consumer prices and weakened economic growth. Additionally, there may be retaliatory actions from trading partners. As the effects of these tariffs begin to unfold, businesses, consumers,……
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The possibility of a global recession in 2025 is a growing concern for economists, investors, and policymakers. With global growth slowing, inflationary pressures lingering, and geopolitical tensions rising, the world economy faces an uncertain future. This article examines whether a 2025 global recession is likely, exploring key economic indicators, central bank policies, stock market implications, and expert forecasts. Additionally, we assess the probability of a global recession within the next……
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Introduction GBP/JPY has been a key beneficiary of Japan’s persistently dovish monetary policy and the Bank of England’s reluctance to cut interest rates. With a massive 4.0% interest rate differential between the UK and Japan, this pair remains one of the most attractive carry trades in the forex market. The recent price action suggests GBP/JPY is on the verge of a breakout, with fundamental, technical, and sentiment factors aligning for……
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Introduction The EUR/JPY pair is showing strong bearish potential as the fundamental and technical outlooks align in favour of the Japanese yen. With Eurozone growth stagnating and the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting rates, the euro faces downside pressure. Meanwhile, Japan’s economy is showing signs of resilience, and with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) slowly shifting away from ultra-loose policy, the yen is gaining strength. This trade idea explores why……
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The USD/CHF currency pair is presenting a high-probability long opportunity as fundamental, sentiment, and technical factors align in favour of a stronger U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc. With the Federal Reserve maintaining restrictive policy while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has already begun cutting rates, the interest rate differential is shifting in favour of USD/CHF upside. This analysis explores why long USD/CHF is a compelling trade, backed by macroeconomic……
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Introduction Bitcoin (BTC) is facing significant downside pressure, with its price dropping below $81,000 as of February 28, 2025. The cryptocurrency market has been rattled by institutional outflows, macroeconomic instability, and security concerns, contributing to a bearish sentiment. This analysis explores the fundamental, technical, and sentiment-driven factors behind Bitcoin’s recent decline and what traders should expect next. Indeed, understanding Bitcoin’s market dynamics is crucial. Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis Sentiment Analysis……
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Introduction The EUR/USD pair continues to face downward pressure, as weak Eurozone economic performance, monetary policy divergence, and global sentiment favor the U.S. dollar. While the Federal Reserve maintains a relatively hawkish stance, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains less aggressive in combating inflation. This has led to a widening interest rate differential that supports further downside in EUR/USD. In this analysis, we break down the macroeconomic, fundamental, sentiment, and……
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Introduction Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, closing at $92.83, reflecting an 8.52% drop (-8.41%) on February 24, 2025. This marks a continuation of a broader selloff, with the stock falling over 20% from recent highs. The substantial price decline is driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors, insider activity, and market sentiment surrounding AI-related stocks. Fundamental Analysis Key Fundamental Drivers of the……
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Introduction The EUR/AUD pair has been in a downward trend. The Eurozone grapples with stagnant growth, declining business confidence, and an uncertain monetary policy outlook. Meanwhile, the Australian economy continues to show resilience, supported by strong trade balances and higher interest rates. This analysis explores the fundamental, technical, and sentiment-based factors influencing EUR/AUD. It highlights key price levels and what traders should watch in the coming weeks. Fundamental Analysis The……
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The US economy is currently exhibiting characteristics of both the mid-cycle and late-cycle phases, reflecting a complex mix of resilience and vulnerability. While growth remains steady in key sectors, mounting inflationary pressures, shifts in monetary policy, and geopolitical uncertainties are raising concerns about a potential US recession. Understanding where the economy stands in the business cycle provides insight into the risks and opportunities for investors, businesses, and policymakers. Understanding the……
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