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Category: Free Analysis

USD/JPY Poised for Upside on Policy Divergence

Introduction The USD/JPY pair is entering a pivotal phase as contrasting monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continue to drive market sentiment. With US growth remaining firm and inflation elevated, the Fed sustains its restrictive stance, while the BoJ clings to ultra-loose policy despite modest price pressures. This divergence, coupled with technical signals of a potential breakout, sets the stage for further USD/JPY strength. Fundamental……
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Short GBP/USD: Weak UK Fundamentals vs Strong US Economy

Introduction The GBP/USD pair is facing renewed downside pressure as the UK economy struggles with sluggish growth and fiscal risks, while the US maintains resilient economic momentum. With inflation gradually easing in both economies, divergent fundamentals, sentiment, and technical indicators increasingly favour a bearish outlook for GBP/USD. Fundamental Analysis The UK economy continues to show limited growth, with sticky inflation still above the Bank of England’s target and persistent fiscal……
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Gold Breaks Higher as Real Yields Ease

Introduction Gold (XAU/USD) has broken out to fresh highs above $3,440, supported by a potent mix of falling real yields, ETF inflows, and resilient central bank demand. After a prolonged summer consolidation, the yellow metal has re-emerged as a core macro hedge while equities wobble and the Federal Reserve edges toward policy easing. With real yields easing from recent peaks and the dollar under pressure, gold’s technical breakout aligns neatly……
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Dollar Weakness Deepens: Short USD/CHF in Focus

Introduction The U.S. dollar has entered a vulnerable phase as political interference in Federal Reserve policy weighs heavily on investor sentiment. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc remains anchored by its strong current account surplus, fiscal prudence, and safe-haven appeal. This divergence makes USD/CHF one of the most compelling macro trades, with both fundamentals and technicals aligning for further downside. Fundamental Analysis The U.S. economy continues to post robust GDP and employment……
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USD/JPY Poised for Renewed Upside

Introduction The divergence between US and Japanese monetary policy continues to define the USD/JPY outlook. With the Federal Reserve maintaining restrictive interest rates and the Bank of Japan persisting with ultra-loose policy, the pair remains skewed higher. Recent consolidation above support suggests USD/JPY could be preparing for another upward leg. Fundamental Analysis The US economy shows robust momentum, with strong GDP growth, resilient services PMI, and a tight labour market.……
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Long AUD/CHF: Potential Breakout on Diverging Policy Outlook

Introduction The AUD/CHF cross presents an opportunity driven by diverging inflation dynamics and monetary policies. Australia maintains moderate growth and sticky inflation, which keeps the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cautious on easing. In contrast, Switzerland continues to face very low inflation, allowing the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remain neutral and less restrictive. With supportive sentiment towards the Australian dollar, conditions are building for a potential bullish breakout in……
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USD/JPY Rally Builds on Yield Differentials

Introduction The USD/JPY pair remains a focal point for traders as policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan widens. The yen continues to face downward pressure from ultra-loose monetary settings, while robust US data sustains demand for the dollar. With technicals pointing higher, the pair looks set to extend gains toward key resistance. Fundamental Analysis The United States shows strong economic momentum, with GDP growth and……
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EUR/AUD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Holds Above 1.81

Introduction The EUR/AUD pair has extended its bullish momentum, climbing firmly above the 1.81 level as Euro strength meets renewed Australian Dollar weakness. With macro fundamentals pointing to diverging monetary policies and technicals showing strong trend confirmation, traders are watching whether EUR/AUD can sustain its breakout and push towards higher resistance. Fundamental Analysis The Euro remains supported by expectations that the European Central Bank will maintain a restrictive policy stance……
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GBP/JPY: Yen Weakness Keeps Pound in Control

Introduction GBP/JPY continues to trade with a bullish bias as the Japanese yen remains under pressure from the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary stance. Meanwhile, the UK pound is supported by relatively higher yields and stabilising growth data, though soft consumer demand and weak services momentum cap upside. With price action holding above key Ichimoku cloud support, the technical picture suggests buyers are still in control while fundamentals tilt the……
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USD/CAD Weakens as Canadian Fundamentals Outperform

Introduction The USD/CAD pair is under pressure as diverging fundamentals weigh on the US dollar and support the Canadian dollar. Despite strong headline growth in the US, underlying imbalances, including persistent twin deficits and weakening consumer confidence, have eroded sentiment. In contrast, Canada’s stable growth, contained inflation, and moderate fiscal position create a stronger macro backdrop for CAD. Technical signals suggest further downside risk for USD/CAD, aligning with macro and……
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