Introduction The euro is showing renewed resilience against the U.S. dollar, supported by a convergence of macro fundamentals, sentiment, and technical structure. While Eurozone growth remains weak, robust external balances and fiscal stability contrast sharply with the U.S.’s widening deficits and fragile consumer sentiment. Together with strong contrarian positioning signals and bullish chart confirmation, EUR/USD looks set for further upside. Fundamental Analysis On an absolute basis, Eurozone fundamentals are mixed.……
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Introduction USD/JPY continues to be one of the most fundamentally divergent major currency pairs in 2025. The United States benefits from strong GDP growth, resilient labour markets, and high interest rates, while Japan remains committed to ultra-loose monetary policy despite moderate inflation. This policy gap, combined with positive US sentiment and supportive technical conditions, underpins the long bias for USD/JPY. Fundamental Analysis The macro landscape strongly favours USD over JPY,……
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Introduction Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade in a consolidation range, holding above the Ichimoku cloud and key support levels while macro fundamentals provide a cautiously bullish bias. The market is balancing the support from central bank buying and ETF inflows against the headwinds from still-elevated real yields and a firm US dollar. This report examines the technical, fundamental, and sentiment landscape to outline the near-term outlook. Fundamental Analysis The fundamental……
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Introduction The CHF/JPY pair continues to reflect a strong macroeconomic and policy divergence between Switzerland’s resilient fundamentals and Japan’s persistent ultra-loose monetary stance. Although recent price action shows some consolidation, the broader structure remains bullish. This analysis examines the underlying fundamentals, sentiment, and technical landscape supporting a long CHF/JPY outlook. Fundamental Analysis Switzerland’s economy remains in solid shape, with quarterly GDP growth at 0.5% and an annual expansion of 2%.……
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Introduction USD/JPY remains one of the clearest expressions of global monetary policy divergence. With the US Federal Reserve maintaining a substantially higher interest rate environment compared to the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative stance, yield spreads remain heavily in favour of the dollar. Combined with stronger US growth and stable inflation, USD/JPY retains a bullish outlook despite short-term consolidation. Fundamental Analysis The United States economy is expanding robustly, with GDP growth……
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Introduction GBP/USD is facing renewed selling pressure as the British pound weakens against a resilient US dollar. The macroeconomic divergence between the UK and the US has widened, driven by stronger US growth, tighter monetary policy, and sustained safe-haven flows into the dollar. Meanwhile, the UK economy continues to struggle with sluggish growth, a persistent current account deficit, and weakening consumer sentiment. This article explores the fundamental, sentiment, and technical……
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Introduction EUR/USD has entered a decisive bearish phase as the euro struggles against a fundamentally stronger US dollar. Weak Eurozone growth, fragile business confidence, and moderating inflation contrast with robust US economic performance and higher interest rates. This combination has weighed heavily on the EUR/USD pair. Furthermore, the technical structure now points to the risk of a deeper decline in EUR/USD. Fundamental Analysis The US economy continues to demonstrate resilience……
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Introduction AUD/CHF continues to trade with a persistent bearish undertone. Switzerland’s fundamentally strong economy stands in stark contrast to Australia’s softening growth and external vulnerabilities. This divergence has been reinforced by recent macroeconomic data, which highlights Switzerland’s fiscal discipline, current account surpluses, and extremely low inflation. Meanwhile, Australia faces slower domestic growth, sensitivity to Chinese demand, and a weakening current account position. Combined with the pair’s bearish technical structure, the……
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Introduction GBP/CHF is emerging from a structural base as the UK economy regains traction while Switzerland faces mounting deflation risk and weakening domestic indicators. The trade exploits diverging monetary trajectories and improving UK sentiment, positioning for a medium-term breakout above resistance. Fundamental Analysis British Pound (GBP): The UK macro picture is one of mild but consistent improvement, with solid retail consumption, sticky inflation, and improving external balances supporting GBP. Swiss……
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Introduction AUD/JPY remains one of the strongest trending G10 cross pairs, supported by macroeconomic divergence, risk appetite, and a bullish technical structure. With the Japanese yen suffering from chronic stagnation and Australia benefiting from stable data and positive sentiment, this pair continues to offer compelling long-side opportunities. Fundamental Analysis Australia:GDP growth came in at 0.2% QoQ and 1.3% YoY, reflecting steady but modest expansion. Inflation is under control at 2.4%……
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