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Insights

US100 Outlook: Momentum Compression, Macro Softening & Sentiment Stress-Test

The Nasdaq-100, also known as US100, is entering a decisive inflection point. A multi-month liquidity-driven rally has hit valuation headwinds, macro visibility is narrowing, and sentiment has rotated from AI euphoria to cautious defensiveness. Despite that, the structural long-term bull case remains intact, underpinned by resilient earnings, a deep AI capex cycle, and a still-benign policy path. Short-term price action is signalling volatility ahead; medium-term fundamentals remain constructive; and long-term……
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USD/JPY: Yield Dominance Takes Control

Introduction USD/JPY continues to operate in a regime where yield spreads, policy divergence and macro outperformance shape the strategic landscape. The Federal Reserve’s restrictive stance contrasts sharply with the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative framework, keeping rate differentials firmly USD-positive. With US data resilient, inflation sticky and labour markets holding steady, the greenback retains its leadership profile. On the technical front, the pair is trending decisively higher, supported by strong momentum……
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GBP/USD: A Clean Breakdown with More Downside Ahead

Introduction GBP/USD has rolled over into a well-defined bearish structure as weakening UK fundamentals collide with a strengthening US macro backdrop. The UK faces stagnant growth, sticky inflation, deteriorating confidence, and softening labour conditions — all while fiscal risks continue to rise. In contrast, the US economy remains resilient, supported by strong consumption, firm labour markets, and a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance. With risk sentiment favouring the dollar and technical……
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EUR/JPY: The Breakout Opportunity Traders Can’t Ignore

Introduction EUR/JPY has entered a powerful bullish phase driven by widening rate differentials, improving eurozone stability, and deep structural weakness in the Japanese yen. With the ECB settling into a predictable stance and the BoJ firmly anchored to ultra-loose policy, yield spreads continue to tilt decisively in favour of the euro. Market appetite for carry has strengthened, risk conditions remain constructive, and the technical structure has aligned with the macro……
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AUD/USD Slides as Policy Divergence Deepens

Introduction The Australian dollar remains under sustained pressure against the US dollar as weak domestic data contrasts sharply with resilient US growth and a still-restrictive Federal Reserve. The behaviour of the AUD/USD rate reflects this ongoing disparity. With global risk sentiment fragile and commodity demand softening, the AUD/USD pair continues to trade defensively below key resistance levels. Market dynamics point toward a continuation of the broader bearish trend as monetary……
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U.S. Dollar Holds Firm: USD/CAD Eyes Upside Continuation

Introduction USD/CAD continues to trade with a bullish undertone, supported by strong U.S. fundamentals and weakening Canadian macro data. While the Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive stance amid resilient growth, Canada faces slowing trade activity and softer domestic momentum. The result is a widening policy and growth divergence that favours sustained USD strength against the CAD. Fundamental Analysis The United States is experiencing solid GDP expansion and a robust labour……
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Dollar Dominance: USD/JPY Targets New Highs

Introduction The USD/JPY pair remains a standout performer in the FX space, driven by diverging monetary policy paths between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. As U.S. growth data outpaces global peers, the dollar continues to attract capital flows, while Japan’s ultra-loose stance keeps the yen on the defensive. The result is a sustained bullish bias, with markets watching for a potential breakout beyond recent highs. Fundamental Analysis……
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AUD/CHF Faces Renewed Pressure Amid Diverging Central Banks

Introduction The Australian dollar is weakening against the Swiss franc as diverging monetary policies and subdued risk sentiment weigh on the pair. While the Reserve Bank of Australia maintains a cautious stance amid mixed domestic data, the Swiss National Bank benefits from low inflation and a strong current account surplus. This macro divergence, coupled with technical resistance overhead, reinforces the bearish outlook for AUD/CHF. Fundamental Analysis Australia’s economy shows patchy……
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EUR/USD Eyes Reversal as Fed Easing Bets Grow

Introduction The euro is showing early signs of recovery against the US dollar, buoyed by improving Eurozone stability and expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. With growth data steadying and inflation nearing target, the EUR/USD pair is testing technical breakout zones after a prolonged period of weakness. This setup positions the pair for a potential medium-term rebound, as markets reassess the transatlantic policy gap. Fundamental Analysis Eurozone economic momentum……
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U.S. Dollar Weakens Against the Swiss Franc as Momentum Fades

Introduction The U.S. dollar is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong rally, while the Swiss franc continues to attract safe-haven flows. Despite resilient U.S. growth data, widening fiscal deficits and softening momentum indicators hint at a possible correction in USD/CHF. On the other side, Switzerland’s low inflation, sound fiscal discipline, and trade surpluses underpin a steady franc. Combined with bearish technical signals, the setup favours renewed downside pressure on……
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