Introduction EUR/USD is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, reflecting short-term resilience, yet the fundamental backdrop favours the US dollar. The Eurozone faces weak growth and easing inflation, while the US economy continues to outperform. Diverging central bank policies and positioning risks keep EUR/USD vulnerable, with a decisive move in either direction hinging on key support and resistance levels. Fundamental Analysis The Eurozone economy remains fragile, with GDP growth stagnating and……
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Introduction The USD/JPY pair is entering a pivotal phase as contrasting monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continue to drive market sentiment. With US growth remaining firm and inflation elevated, the Fed sustains its restrictive stance, while the BoJ clings to ultra-loose policy despite modest price pressures. This divergence, coupled with technical signals of a potential breakout, sets the stage for further USD/JPY strength. Fundamental……
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Introduction The EUR/JPY cross is beginning to show signs of fatigue after a strong upward run. Eurozone growth remains subdued, with the European Central Bank keeping policy restrictive but cautious, while Japan continues to pursue ultra-loose monetary policy. Despite the Bank of Japan’s dovish stance, safe-haven demand for the yen and weakening technical momentum tilt the balance toward the downside. Fundamental Analysis The Eurozone economy is struggling with stagnant growth……
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Introduction The GBP/USD pair is facing renewed downside pressure as the UK economy struggles with sluggish growth and fiscal risks, while the US maintains resilient economic momentum. With inflation gradually easing in both economies, divergent fundamentals, sentiment, and technical indicators increasingly favour a bearish outlook for GBP/USD. Fundamental Analysis The UK economy continues to show limited growth, with sticky inflation still above the Bank of England’s target and persistent fiscal……
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Introduction Gold (XAU/USD) has broken out to fresh highs above $3,440, supported by a potent mix of falling real yields, ETF inflows, and resilient central bank demand. After a prolonged summer consolidation, the yellow metal has re-emerged as a core macro hedge while equities wobble and the Federal Reserve edges toward policy easing. With real yields easing from recent peaks and the dollar under pressure, gold’s technical breakout aligns neatly……
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Introduction The Australian dollar faces renewed downside against the US dollar as policy and growth divergences widen. With Australia struggling under weaker growth, softer retail sales, and fiscal imbalances, the Reserve Bank of Australia remains cautious. In contrast, the Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer stance and resilient US economy continue to support the greenback. Technicals show short-term resilience, but broader risks remain tilted against the AUD. Fundamental Analysis Australia’s economy is slowing,……
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Introduction The British pound is holding steady despite fiscal concerns, while the U.S. dollar is reeling from political interference undermining Federal Reserve independence. This divergence provides a window of opportunity to go long GBP/USD, as macro drivers and sentiment favour sterling over the dollar. Fundamental Analysis The UK economy is expanding modestly, with 0.3% quarterly growth and inflation still above target at 3.8% YoY. The Bank of England’s restrictive stance……
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Introduction The U.S. dollar has entered a vulnerable phase as political interference in Federal Reserve policy weighs heavily on investor sentiment. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc remains anchored by its strong current account surplus, fiscal prudence, and safe-haven appeal. This divergence makes USD/CHF one of the most compelling macro trades, with both fundamentals and technicals aligning for further downside. Fundamental Analysis The U.S. economy continues to post robust GDP and employment……
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Introduction The divergence between US and Japanese monetary policy continues to define the USD/JPY outlook. With the Federal Reserve maintaining restrictive interest rates and the Bank of Japan persisting with ultra-loose policy, the pair remains skewed higher. Recent consolidation above support suggests USD/JPY could be preparing for another upward leg. Fundamental Analysis The US economy shows robust momentum, with strong GDP growth, resilient services PMI, and a tight labour market.……
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Introduction The AUD/CHF cross presents an opportunity driven by diverging inflation dynamics and monetary policies. Australia maintains moderate growth and sticky inflation, which keeps the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cautious on easing. In contrast, Switzerland continues to face very low inflation, allowing the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remain neutral and less restrictive. With supportive sentiment towards the Australian dollar, conditions are building for a potential bullish breakout in……
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