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Insights

Short AUD/JPY: Macro, Sentiment & Technicals Align for Downside

Introduction AUD/JPY has reached an inflection point where stretched momentum, fading risk appetite, and a deteriorating macro backdrop collide. The pair’s multi-month grind higher has left price extended, vulnerable, and increasingly out of sync with underlying fundamentals. With Australia showing softening data and Japan maintaining entrenched ultra-loose policy, this cross has run ahead of itself. Sentiment is aggressively skewed, and technicals now signal exhaustion. The risk-reward profile has flipped decisively……
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USD/CHF: A Bottoming Structure Setting Up for Reversal

Introduction USD/CHF has spent several months unwinding, but the pair is now showing signs of stabilisation as macro divergence, yield dynamics, and early reversal signals begin to align. While the broader structure remains soft, the downside momentum is fading, selling pressure is weakening, and the market is showing the first indications of accumulation. Against a backdrop of US economic strength and tempered Swiss momentum, the pair appears to be forming……
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GBP/USD Breakdown: A Reversal Ready to Accelerate

Introduction Sterling’s recent upward correction has faded, and the underlying structure of GBP/USD has turned decisively bearish. Despite a short-lived bounce, the pair remains trapped beneath key resistance levels and deep inside a broader downtrend. Macro divergence between the UK and the United States continues to widen, while sentiment indicators strongly favour the dollar. With daily timeframe technicals now confirming renewed downside pressure, the pair is positioned for a continuation……
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Sterling Under Pressure: The Bearish Case for GBP/USD

Introduction GBP/USD remains structurally fragile as the United Kingdom continues to navigate a weak macroeconomic pulse and a persistent inflation overhang. While the Bank of England maintains a late-cycle restrictive stance, the broader economic backdrop is deteriorating, with subdued growth, weak sentiment and soft retail dynamics. Conversely, the US economy retains clear cyclical strength, underpinned by resilient labour markets and firm consumption. With monetary policy divergence still meaningful and the……
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Riding the Divergence: Why USD/JPY Still Has Room to Run

Introduction The USD/JPY cross remains one of the most compelling macro opportunities in the FX landscape. With the Federal Reserve holding policy in firmly restrictive territory and the Bank of Japan still anchored to ultra-easy conditions, the rate differential continues to drive structural demand for the US dollar. Japan’s economy struggles with weak growth, soft consumption and limited inflation pressure, while the US maintains a clear cyclical advantage. Despite recent……
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Long USD/JPY: Structural Divergence Driving Trend Continuation

Introduction USD/JPY is positioned at the intersection of one of the most powerful macro divergences in global FX. With the Federal Reserve anchored in a higher-for-longer posture, and the Bank of Japan maintaining ultra-loose settings, yield spreads remain decisively in favour of the dollar. The macro backdrop is supported by strong US data, resilient consumption and entrenched inflation pressures. Meanwhile, Japan continues to face weak growth, subdued price dynamics and……
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Short EUR/USD: A High-Conviction Macro Break

Introduction The euro–dollar cross has entered a decisive macro and technical inflection point. With the United States maintaining superior growth momentum, firmer inflation dynamics and a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance, the fundamental gap versus a softening euro area has widened materially. Sentiment indicators reinforce the structural divergence: EUR/USD remains one of the weakest-ranked pairs in the model, and the technical structure has now transitioned into early-stage bearish reversal conditions on……
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USD/CHF: Bullish Momentum Strengthens

Introduction The USD/CHF cross is entering a decisive bullish phase as macro resilience in the United States converges with Switzerland’s subdued inflation backdrop and accommodative policy stance. Market dynamics are increasingly favouring the dollar: stronger growth, firmer PMIs and stabilising inflation contrast sharply with Switzerland’s muted economic trajectory. Sentiment indicators show a modest shift toward USD strength, while technical conditions highlight a clean trend reversal above key Ichimoku levels. Together,……
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EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Builds as Macro Divergence Deepens

Introduction EUR/USD continues to trade under sustained downside pressure, driven by persistent macro divergence between the Eurozone and the United States. Soft Eurozone growth, weakening sentiment indicators and subdued inflation keep the ECB firmly on a cautious path, while the U.S. economy maintains strong output, resilient labour markets and higher-for-longer rate expectations. With technicals reinforcing the bearish structure, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside as markets reward USD strength……
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US100 Outlook: Momentum Compression, Macro Softening & Sentiment Stress-Test

The Nasdaq-100, also known as US100, is entering a decisive inflection point. A multi-month liquidity-driven rally has hit valuation headwinds, macro visibility is narrowing, and sentiment has rotated from AI euphoria to cautious defensiveness. Despite that, the structural long-term bull case remains intact, underpinned by resilient earnings, a deep AI capex cycle, and a still-benign policy path. Short-term price action is signalling volatility ahead; medium-term fundamentals remain constructive; and long-term……
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