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Insights

AUD/USD Weakens as Bearish Momentum Builds

Introduction The Australian dollar has come under renewed pressure against the US dollar, with macro fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical signals aligning to support a bearish outlook for AUD/USD. Recent economic data show diverging trajectories between Australia and the United States, while technical momentum indicators point toward further downside in the pair. Fundamental Analysis Australia’s growth outlook remains fragile, with soft PMIs, widening trade deficits, and fiscal concerns weighing on……
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AUD/USD Weakness Extends as US Dollar Dominates

Introduction AUD/USD continues to face downside pressure as Australia’s weakening growth outlook clashes with the United States’ robust economic performance. The divergence in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve, combined with bearish sentiment and technical breakdowns, keeps the pair vulnerable to further declines. Fundamental Analysis Australia is grappling with slowing GDP growth, weaker confidence indicators, and a deteriorating trade balance. Inflation remains elevated,……
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EUR/USD: Bears Position for a Turn After Rally

Introduction The euro has rallied strongly against the US dollar, but momentum is fading as macro and sentiment factors weigh. With Eurozone growth stagnant and the ECB cautious, while the US economy outperforms under a restrictive Federal Reserve, EUR/USD may be nearing a turning point. Technicals remain supportive in the short term, but risks of reversal are growing. Fundamental Analysis The Eurozone faces sluggish GDP growth, weak manufacturing, and subdued……
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USD/CAD: Dollar Bulls Eye Breakout Above 1.40

Introduction The US dollar is gaining momentum against the Canadian dollar as macro fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals converge. With resilient US growth, elevated inflation, and a restrictive Federal Reserve stance contrasting with Canada’s softer economic backdrop, USD/CAD is primed for upside. Recent daily chart signals suggest a bullish breakout is developing, reinforcing the broader macro theme. Fundamental Analysis The US economy continues to outperform, with GDP growth strong, consumer spending……
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EUR/USD Weakens as Growth Divergence Favors Dollar

Introduction EUR/USD has lost momentum as the Eurozone’s stagnant growth contrasts with the resilience of the U.S. economy. While the European Central Bank remains cautious due to subdued inflation, the Federal Reserve continues to maintain a restrictive stance. This divergence in fundamentals is keeping downward pressure on the pair, with sentiment and technicals pointing to further weakness. Fundamental Analysis The Eurozone faces anaemic GDP growth, soft PMIs, weak consumer confidence,……
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USD/JPY Surges as Yield Gap Powers Dollar Strength

Introduction USD/JPY continues to trade firmly as the divergence between the Federal Reserve’s restrictive stance and the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose policy sustains upward momentum. With robust U.S. economic data and higher Treasury yields contrasting Japan’s weak fundamentals, the pair remains biased to the upside. Technical indicators also confirm bullish potential, strengthening the case for further gains in the USD/JPY exchange rate. Fundamental Analysis The U.S. economy is outperforming with……
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USD/CAD Weakens Despite Holding Above the Cloud

Introduction The Canadian dollar is gaining traction against the US dollar, supported by robust trade surpluses and a steady inflation backdrop. Although USD/CAD remains above the Ichimoku cloud, signalling a technically bullish bias, the pair shows signs of fatigue. With macro and sentiment drivers favouring the loonie, USD/CAD could be primed for a reversal lower. Fundamental Analysis Canada’s economy benefits from resilient employment, improving current account balances, and stable inflation.……
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GBP/USD Rally Builds as Sterling Targets New Highs

Introduction The British pound is mounting a strong comeback against the US dollar, fuelled by resilient UK data and an improving outlook. At the same time, the dollar faces mounting headwinds from stretched positioning and fading sentiment. With technicals echoing the macro backdrop, the GBP/USD currency pair looks poised to break higher, with scope for fresh highs in the weeks ahead. Fundamental Analysis UK fundamentals remain supportive. Services PMI is……
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Short EUR/JPY Trade: Eurozone Weakness Meets Yen Fragility

Introduction The EUR/JPY cross has been trading near highs, yet underlying fundamentals suggest downside risk. The euro suffers from stagnant growth and fiscal strain, while Japan remains hampered by debt and ultra-loose policy. Despite this, sentiment remains heavily against the yen, creating a stretched dynamic. A technical slowdown around resistance strengthens the case for a corrective move lower. Fundamental Analysis The eurozone economy is flat, with GDP growth near zero,……
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AUD/USD Short Trade: Overextended Rally at Risk

Introduction AUD/USD has staged a strong rebound, supported by risk sentiment and short covering. However, the rally appears stretched both technically and fundamentally. Weak macro conditions in Australia, contrasted with the United States’ resilient growth and hawkish Fed, suggest limited sustainability for AUD gains. This sets up a potential opportunity to fade strength in AUD/USD. Fundamental Analysis Australia’s growth is modest, with trade deficits and weak consumer confidence weighing on……
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